Thursday, April 23
I wasn't sure of the best way to handle this email today. My father, who had been chronically ill for a long time, passed away from COVID yesterday. It is sad and scary. However, I am not surprised, and I am OK. Coronavirus became rampant in his nursing home last week, despite their best efforts [they did the best they could].
I'm know we are all impacted by this virus. I continue to take comfort in reading and (attempts at) understanding. And, so long as I am reading things, I will share them.
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Latest data
FT data (No change in the presentation)
https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Death vs. Cases in the US.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-covid-cases-deaths?country=US
remember the reasons for variable daily reporting, look for the trends.
An estimate of the effective reproduction number by state
https://rt.live/
What is this analysis about? http://systrom.com/topic/coronavirus/
The discussion around how to conceptualize the range of lung damage experienced by COVID patients prompted pulmonary physicians to speak about how COVID is inflammatory damage and should be treated as such.
https://www.mdedge.com/infectiousdisease/article/221091/coronavirus-updates/doctors-push-back-treating-covid-19-hape
The origins of the SARACoV2 virus are still not clear. Another paper looking at genetic mutation and lineage supports animal to human transfer (rather than the conspiracies around an engineered virus). Here is the paper: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.20.052019v1
And a reasonable discussion about the data in the pre-release article: https://twitter.com/carlzimmer/status/1253053261873111040
California is ramping up testing combined with contact tracing. These two activities, plus some good clinical data on treatments that mitigate the worst of the viral symptoms, would be very comforting before liberalizing physical interactions. Vaccines are still a ways away, I suspect.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/22/1000425/california-aims-to-quintuple-its-coronavirus-testing/
Here is an interesting behavioral economics approach to looking at factors for success in electronic contact tracing.
https://theconversation.com/coronavirus-contact-tracing-apps-most-of-us-wont-cooperate-unless-everyone-does-135959
Here is more discussion about mask use. I don't know how valid the calculations are, but the explanation is well done and easily understood. Be warned - there are some logical fallacies hiding in the article about mask-wearing. I am not sure we have proven either the magnitude or best uses cases implied by the cause and effect language the author is using in some parts of the article.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/dont-wear-mask-yourself/610336/
Here is a fascinating (and complicated) analysis of the media's impact on viewers' behavior. While the data is from an economics paper (and thus outside my expertise to comfortably appraise), the implications for this article touch on a lot of the behavior shaping and other media discussions I've pointed to in past emails.
Paper https://bfi.uchicago.edu/working-paper/2020-44/
Article and discussion about the paper https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/4/22/21229360/coronavirus-covid-19-fox-news-sean-hannity-misinformation-death
April 21 was tea day. I celebrate every day, but still
https://twitter.com/compoundchem/status/1252676718382452736/photo/1
My favorite cartoon of the last 24 hours (thanks, Travis!)
https://twitter.com/DeceptivelyS/status/1252778523292389377/photo/1
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
I wasn't sure of the best way to handle this email today. My father, who had been chronically ill for a long time, passed away from COVID yesterday. It is sad and scary. However, I am not surprised, and I am OK. Coronavirus became rampant in his nursing home last week, despite their best efforts [they did the best they could].
I'm know we are all impacted by this virus. I continue to take comfort in reading and (attempts at) understanding. And, so long as I am reading things, I will share them.
-------
Latest data
FT data (No change in the presentation)
https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Death vs. Cases in the US.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-covid-cases-deaths?country=US
remember the reasons for variable daily reporting, look for the trends.
An estimate of the effective reproduction number by state
https://rt.live/
What is this analysis about? http://systrom.com/topic/coronavirus/
The discussion around how to conceptualize the range of lung damage experienced by COVID patients prompted pulmonary physicians to speak about how COVID is inflammatory damage and should be treated as such.
https://www.mdedge.com/infectiousdisease/article/221091/coronavirus-updates/doctors-push-back-treating-covid-19-hape
The origins of the SARACoV2 virus are still not clear. Another paper looking at genetic mutation and lineage supports animal to human transfer (rather than the conspiracies around an engineered virus). Here is the paper: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.20.052019v1
And a reasonable discussion about the data in the pre-release article: https://twitter.com/carlzimmer/status/1253053261873111040
California is ramping up testing combined with contact tracing. These two activities, plus some good clinical data on treatments that mitigate the worst of the viral symptoms, would be very comforting before liberalizing physical interactions. Vaccines are still a ways away, I suspect.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/22/1000425/california-aims-to-quintuple-its-coronavirus-testing/
Here is an interesting behavioral economics approach to looking at factors for success in electronic contact tracing.
https://theconversation.com/coronavirus-contact-tracing-apps-most-of-us-wont-cooperate-unless-everyone-does-135959
Here is more discussion about mask use. I don't know how valid the calculations are, but the explanation is well done and easily understood. Be warned - there are some logical fallacies hiding in the article about mask-wearing. I am not sure we have proven either the magnitude or best uses cases implied by the cause and effect language the author is using in some parts of the article.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/dont-wear-mask-yourself/610336/
Here is a fascinating (and complicated) analysis of the media's impact on viewers' behavior. While the data is from an economics paper (and thus outside my expertise to comfortably appraise), the implications for this article touch on a lot of the behavior shaping and other media discussions I've pointed to in past emails.
Paper https://bfi.uchicago.edu/working-paper/2020-44/
Article and discussion about the paper https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/4/22/21229360/coronavirus-covid-19-fox-news-sean-hannity-misinformation-death
April 21 was tea day. I celebrate every day, but still
https://twitter.com/compoundchem/status/1252676718382452736/photo/1
My favorite cartoon of the last 24 hours (thanks, Travis!)
https://twitter.com/DeceptivelyS/status/1252778523292389377/photo/1
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
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