Friday, May 15, 2020
Date reference: See https://www.instagram.com/p/CALtjsvFDwr/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link ***
The pace of new information has slowed, and the weather is consistently nicer. I think many of us want this pandemic to be over now. To be sure, I have noticed a certain degree of past tense creeping into my thoughts and vocabulary. I am finding it very challenging to stay focused on the realities. It is clear that bikes and hikes and trying to grow things in my yard will be the focus of weekends and summer plans. But wearing masks in the heat of July and watching the day-to-day data will be hard. I will say, however, it is easier to have socially distanced dinners off the grill and on the patio than in the kitchen. Of course, small family dinners staged like meetings between North and South Korea (with two tables and lots of space) will always be odd.
----------------
Data Visualization Update
State comparisons:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://public.tableau.com/shared/7FH637YGW?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
Some states are starting to trend back upward with new cases. See TX and VA, for instance.
---------
Appropriately, we are focused on testing again today—quite a few stories.
Here is the FDA list of authorized tests, along with their reported sensitivity and specificity.
https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/emergency-situations-medical-devices/eua-authorized-serology-test-performance
Other stories of note:
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates#id856531970
Spain is doing sampling of citizens looking for IgG, the antibody indication of exposure to the coronavirus weeks to months ago. They found some pretty amazing results. This study is an intellectually sound use of antibody testing -- looking for the prevalence of more remote exposure to coronavirus SARS-CoV-2.
https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study-shows-just-5-of-spaniards-have-contracted-the-coronavirus.html
There was someone (whose name may rhyme with Fryers) that poked fun at the bonus content. Well, Ms. Anonymous mocker, I offer you the merging of bonus content and reality. A comparison of Fauci to Galileo. https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/14/anthony-fauci-galileo-galilei-champion-science/
In all seriousness, finding these parallels is part of the fun. The problems we face (and how we deal with them) are remarkably consistent over time. Whether you're dealing with wheat transactions recorded in cuneiform on clay tablets or trying to understand large data sets through AI/ML, we have been attempting to understand, measure, and act for thousands of years.
Many patients are developing acute kidney injury as part of COVID infection. Not a surprise, given the pathology of COVID. Some colleagues in NY just published some data about their observations:
here is the article about the article:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-kidney-idUSKBN22Q0U7
Here is the peer-reviewed article:
https://www.kidney-international.org/article/S0085-2538(20)30532-9/fulltext
Infographic summary: https://marlin-prod.literatumonline.com/cms/asset/fe73b6f6-bf71-45a2-a7b4-49f3f517aa18/fx1_lrg.jpg
Here is an LA Times article on some newly rendered images of the coronavirus. I found the various analogies and metaphors the author used to describe a virus more dramatically, both interesting and entertaining. Most coronaviruses look like this, by the way. Even ones that don't cause human illness. I wonder what words she would use to describe them.
https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-05-14/see-the-new-coronavirus-in-detail-youve-never-seen-before
Here are some editorial thoughts on contact tracing - the rights of the one vs. the rights of the many.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/15/contact-tracing-must-balance-privacy-and-public-health/
If you are OK with the balance of individual privacy versus group protection, you can enroll in a Johns Hopkins certification on contact tracing course for free.
https://www.coursera.org/learn/covid-19-contact-tracing?edocomorp=covid-19-contact-tracing
Here is another article on the unintended acceleration of machines replacing humans due to the pandemic.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/05/14/1001716/ai-chatbots-take-call-center-jobs-during-coronavirus-pandemic/
Infographic of the day - We must immediately begin preparing for World Camel Day - June 22. It is nearly a month away. I will let each of you ponder how you wish to mark this occasion. It falls on a Monday this year, so plan accordingly. Here is a Camelidae spotting guide, in case you don't have camels local to your house:
https://i.redd.it/krgau808bny41.jpg
Source: http://www.peppermintnarwhal.com/index.html#about
And, in the event you have (OR ARE ABOUT TO HAVE) children, I offer infographic of the day #2
https://i.redd.it/nnmip1u9sty41.png
(*I am pretty sure this stuff is good in theory but much harder in practice. I don't have to explain how parenting often feels like the worst of HR, combined with the inability to dismiss the offending worker(s).)
------Bonus Round -- Visual Capitalist Friday. I found myself mining for infographics last night. Here are some of the findings of note:
As part of my ongoing fantasy about moving off-world, I found a rather detailed map of the moon. I am struck by the degree to which we have some (apparent) understanding of the geologic makeup of the various areas. I am also reminded of my thoughts when reading about various gold and oil booms of the last century - "it is probably wiser to be the guy selling tools and equipment than the guy doing the digging." Does anyone want to invest in a moon-mining equipment company? Lots of prime property is available.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/geology-of-the-moon-map-midres.html
Here is someone who shares my thoughts on being a "shovel-seller."
https://startupsunplugged.com/startup-data/selling-shovels-in-the-new-gold-rush/
Back to biases
I did not feel there was a lot more to say about logical fallacies and cognitive biases. However, new infographics emerge. This one from the visual capitalist, looking at political articles and various new sources. When choosing articles, I attempt to get to the source and make a strong attempt to stick to mainstream (read: centered) points of view. But, everyone has an agenda. The best we can do is attempt to be aware of said agendas. I was not aware that the Pew Research Center has an Ideologic Consistency Scale. Look at the variation in the spread. Consider how various market forces may drive these information sources on this scale.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/11-cognitive-biases-influence-politics/
-----
***Date reference info:
1. Thanks, Melanie
2. I aspire to be as poignantly clever as this liquor store sign. (I wonder how many people have thought those words before?)
https://www.instagram.com/elarroyo_atx/?hl=en
Clean hands and sharp minds
-Adam
Date reference: See https://www.instagram.com/p/CALtjsvFDwr/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link ***
The pace of new information has slowed, and the weather is consistently nicer. I think many of us want this pandemic to be over now. To be sure, I have noticed a certain degree of past tense creeping into my thoughts and vocabulary. I am finding it very challenging to stay focused on the realities. It is clear that bikes and hikes and trying to grow things in my yard will be the focus of weekends and summer plans. But wearing masks in the heat of July and watching the day-to-day data will be hard. I will say, however, it is easier to have socially distanced dinners off the grill and on the patio than in the kitchen. Of course, small family dinners staged like meetings between North and South Korea (with two tables and lots of space) will always be odd.
----------------
Data Visualization Update
State comparisons:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://public.tableau.com/shared/7FH637YGW?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
Some states are starting to trend back upward with new cases. See TX and VA, for instance.
---------
Appropriately, we are focused on testing again today—quite a few stories.
Here is the FDA list of authorized tests, along with their reported sensitivity and specificity.
https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/emergency-situations-medical-devices/eua-authorized-serology-test-performance
Other stories of note:
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates#id856531970
Spain is doing sampling of citizens looking for IgG, the antibody indication of exposure to the coronavirus weeks to months ago. They found some pretty amazing results. This study is an intellectually sound use of antibody testing -- looking for the prevalence of more remote exposure to coronavirus SARS-CoV-2.
https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study-shows-just-5-of-spaniards-have-contracted-the-coronavirus.html
There was someone (whose name may rhyme with Fryers) that poked fun at the bonus content. Well, Ms. Anonymous mocker, I offer you the merging of bonus content and reality. A comparison of Fauci to Galileo. https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/14/anthony-fauci-galileo-galilei-champion-science/
In all seriousness, finding these parallels is part of the fun. The problems we face (and how we deal with them) are remarkably consistent over time. Whether you're dealing with wheat transactions recorded in cuneiform on clay tablets or trying to understand large data sets through AI/ML, we have been attempting to understand, measure, and act for thousands of years.
Many patients are developing acute kidney injury as part of COVID infection. Not a surprise, given the pathology of COVID. Some colleagues in NY just published some data about their observations:
here is the article about the article:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-kidney-idUSKBN22Q0U7
Here is the peer-reviewed article:
https://www.kidney-international.org/article/S0085-2538(20)30532-9/fulltext
Infographic summary: https://marlin-prod.literatumonline.com/cms/asset/fe73b6f6-bf71-45a2-a7b4-49f3f517aa18/fx1_lrg.jpg
Here is an LA Times article on some newly rendered images of the coronavirus. I found the various analogies and metaphors the author used to describe a virus more dramatically, both interesting and entertaining. Most coronaviruses look like this, by the way. Even ones that don't cause human illness. I wonder what words she would use to describe them.
https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-05-14/see-the-new-coronavirus-in-detail-youve-never-seen-before
Here are some editorial thoughts on contact tracing - the rights of the one vs. the rights of the many.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/15/contact-tracing-must-balance-privacy-and-public-health/
If you are OK with the balance of individual privacy versus group protection, you can enroll in a Johns Hopkins certification on contact tracing course for free.
https://www.coursera.org/learn/covid-19-contact-tracing?edocomorp=covid-19-contact-tracing
Here is another article on the unintended acceleration of machines replacing humans due to the pandemic.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/05/14/1001716/ai-chatbots-take-call-center-jobs-during-coronavirus-pandemic/
Infographic of the day - We must immediately begin preparing for World Camel Day - June 22. It is nearly a month away. I will let each of you ponder how you wish to mark this occasion. It falls on a Monday this year, so plan accordingly. Here is a Camelidae spotting guide, in case you don't have camels local to your house:
https://i.redd.it/krgau808bny41.jpg
Source: http://www.peppermintnarwhal.com/index.html#about
And, in the event you have (OR ARE ABOUT TO HAVE) children, I offer infographic of the day #2
https://i.redd.it/nnmip1u9sty41.png
(*I am pretty sure this stuff is good in theory but much harder in practice. I don't have to explain how parenting often feels like the worst of HR, combined with the inability to dismiss the offending worker(s).)
------Bonus Round -- Visual Capitalist Friday. I found myself mining for infographics last night. Here are some of the findings of note:
As part of my ongoing fantasy about moving off-world, I found a rather detailed map of the moon. I am struck by the degree to which we have some (apparent) understanding of the geologic makeup of the various areas. I am also reminded of my thoughts when reading about various gold and oil booms of the last century - "it is probably wiser to be the guy selling tools and equipment than the guy doing the digging." Does anyone want to invest in a moon-mining equipment company? Lots of prime property is available.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/geology-of-the-moon-map-midres.html
Here is someone who shares my thoughts on being a "shovel-seller."
https://startupsunplugged.com/startup-data/selling-shovels-in-the-new-gold-rush/
Back to biases
I did not feel there was a lot more to say about logical fallacies and cognitive biases. However, new infographics emerge. This one from the visual capitalist, looking at political articles and various new sources. When choosing articles, I attempt to get to the source and make a strong attempt to stick to mainstream (read: centered) points of view. But, everyone has an agenda. The best we can do is attempt to be aware of said agendas. I was not aware that the Pew Research Center has an Ideologic Consistency Scale. Look at the variation in the spread. Consider how various market forces may drive these information sources on this scale.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/11-cognitive-biases-influence-politics/
-----
***Date reference info:
1. Thanks, Melanie
2. I aspire to be as poignantly clever as this liquor store sign. (I wonder how many people have thought those words before?)
https://www.instagram.com/elarroyo_atx/?hl=en
Clean hands and sharp minds
-Adam
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