Thursday, May 7, 2020
Good morning. Yesterday, Maryland announced a very slow and phased approach to re-opening that puts us well into 2021. It reminds me that we are still not at the beginning of the end of this pandemic. Numerous comments and conversations have continued to drill home what the data visualization tells us. Rt is dropping but not 0. Deaths and cases have plateaued, but not yet fallen (as a country). I am worried about the implications of having the wrong mindset. As one wise colleague put it, if this pandemic were a marathon, we would be at mile 11 or 12, not mile 25. In other words, half the bad things that will happen have not yet happened. Sobering. Sorry. Balancing realism and hope are always a struggle, doubly so now.
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Data Visualization Update
State comparisons:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://public.tableau.com/shared/7FH637YGW?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons. It was udpated in the last 48 hours.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
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One symptom of rapid data sharing is the "pre-print" article. I found this article putting words to my concerns about this COVID-driven trend.
https://theconversation.com/researchers-use-pre-prints-to-share-coronavirus-results-quickly-but-that-can-backfire-137501
Re-opening is the word of the week. Korea is what one model of success looks like.
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2020/05/south-koreas-covid-19-exceptionalism/611296/
The meatpacking industry has been the focus of COVID spread in the media. The implications for bringing back workplaces that require close working conditions are easy to see.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6918e3.htm?s_cid=mm6918e3_x
Here is some more discussion about models of recurrent outbreaks and waves.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/01/three-potential-futures-for-covid-19/
Here is a twitter discussion on the impact of mutations in the virus and the risk of over-interpretation of noted changes to the coronavirus RNA. It references a pre-print article, FYI.
https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1257825352660877313
Things I did not know - llamas have small antibodies (relative to humans). This is the first article I have read that comments on eyelash aesthetics, llamas, and antibodies in one sentence—yet another surreal impact of this epidemic.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/06/science/llama-coronavirus-antibodies.html?referringSource=articleShare
A 2018 article on the socioeconomic impact of the various waves of the 1918 flu. Not sure if we can extrapolate, but something to think about as we discuss re-opening.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5907814/
Happy National Asparagus Month!? I was holding out for a more international celebration, but here is your infographic of the day:
https://twitter.com/compoundchem/status/1258131512358248456/photo/1
As a point, books about Asparagus chemistry are translated into numerous languages, so it is not unreasonable to assume there is an international asparagus month.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Andy-Brunning/e/B00OF7AUO0/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_1
Bonus round
Once again, a decidedly unwired, Wired article. This one touches on proto-European languages, auroch, and the invention of the wheel. Perhaps, I am too narrow-minded. In its day (like 10,000+ years ago), the wheel was pretty wired, so it seems.
https://www.wired.com/story/who-invented-wheel-how-did-they-do-it/
And we will round out the bonus round with another unwired, Wired article. An 18th-century lifestyle reenactor has a wildly popular YouTube channel helping watchers understand, amongst other things about living in the 1700s, how challenging other times of plague and hardship were. Like yellow fever and smallpox. This is a lot to wrap your mind around.
Article: https://www.wired.com/story/jon-townsend-18th-century-reenactments-pandemic/
YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/user/jastownsendandson/videos
I highly recommend the video entitled, "GROG!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB7pk7AfV2E&pbjreload=10
Clean hands and sharp minds,
-Adam
Good morning. Yesterday, Maryland announced a very slow and phased approach to re-opening that puts us well into 2021. It reminds me that we are still not at the beginning of the end of this pandemic. Numerous comments and conversations have continued to drill home what the data visualization tells us. Rt is dropping but not 0. Deaths and cases have plateaued, but not yet fallen (as a country). I am worried about the implications of having the wrong mindset. As one wise colleague put it, if this pandemic were a marathon, we would be at mile 11 or 12, not mile 25. In other words, half the bad things that will happen have not yet happened. Sobering. Sorry. Balancing realism and hope are always a struggle, doubly so now.
------
Data Visualization Update
State comparisons:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://public.tableau.com/shared/7FH637YGW?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons. It was udpated in the last 48 hours.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
----------------
One symptom of rapid data sharing is the "pre-print" article. I found this article putting words to my concerns about this COVID-driven trend.
https://theconversation.com/researchers-use-pre-prints-to-share-coronavirus-results-quickly-but-that-can-backfire-137501
Re-opening is the word of the week. Korea is what one model of success looks like.
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2020/05/south-koreas-covid-19-exceptionalism/611296/
The meatpacking industry has been the focus of COVID spread in the media. The implications for bringing back workplaces that require close working conditions are easy to see.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6918e3.htm?s_cid=mm6918e3_x
Here is some more discussion about models of recurrent outbreaks and waves.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/01/three-potential-futures-for-covid-19/
Here is a twitter discussion on the impact of mutations in the virus and the risk of over-interpretation of noted changes to the coronavirus RNA. It references a pre-print article, FYI.
https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1257825352660877313
Things I did not know - llamas have small antibodies (relative to humans). This is the first article I have read that comments on eyelash aesthetics, llamas, and antibodies in one sentence—yet another surreal impact of this epidemic.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/06/science/llama-coronavirus-antibodies.html?referringSource=articleShare
A 2018 article on the socioeconomic impact of the various waves of the 1918 flu. Not sure if we can extrapolate, but something to think about as we discuss re-opening.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5907814/
Happy National Asparagus Month!? I was holding out for a more international celebration, but here is your infographic of the day:
https://twitter.com/compoundchem/status/1258131512358248456/photo/1
As a point, books about Asparagus chemistry are translated into numerous languages, so it is not unreasonable to assume there is an international asparagus month.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Andy-Brunning/e/B00OF7AUO0/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_1
Bonus round
Once again, a decidedly unwired, Wired article. This one touches on proto-European languages, auroch, and the invention of the wheel. Perhaps, I am too narrow-minded. In its day (like 10,000+ years ago), the wheel was pretty wired, so it seems.
https://www.wired.com/story/who-invented-wheel-how-did-they-do-it/
And we will round out the bonus round with another unwired, Wired article. An 18th-century lifestyle reenactor has a wildly popular YouTube channel helping watchers understand, amongst other things about living in the 1700s, how challenging other times of plague and hardship were. Like yellow fever and smallpox. This is a lot to wrap your mind around.
Article: https://www.wired.com/story/jon-townsend-18th-century-reenactments-pandemic/
YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/user/jastownsendandson/videos
I highly recommend the video entitled, "GROG!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB7pk7AfV2E&pbjreload=10
Clean hands and sharp minds,
-Adam
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