Friday, June 12, 2020
The last 24 hours have seen an increase in attacks on symbols of injustice. This makes sense - physical structures and flags have a much narrower range of meaning and are apparent. Institutions, people, and laws are much harder to change. I am concerned about keeping the focus on substantive opportunities - elections, legislation, organizational policies. That is hard work that requires persistence, resources, and time. Most concerning, the pandemic has impacted voter registration, changed the risk/reward of civic engagement, and has altered the resources that we have at our disposal. Addressing the issues, from public health to public safety, is going to take focus and fortitude.
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The NY Times hotspot map is an excellent quick glace
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
Here is some complex CDC data on hospitalizations - it is a complex graph, and you need to switch to weekly data to make sense of change over time
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html
State Details:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data (again - be sure to compare latest to 2- and 4-weeks back)
https://rt.live/
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
Our world in data has interactive features.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-04-16..&country=USA~GBR~CAN~BRA~AUS~IND~DEU~FRA~ITA~SWE&deathsMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7
The tableau data is from The COVID Tracking Project, which compiles and rates state-reported data. Please review https://covidtracking.com/ to understand the quality of the data.
---------
IHME has released some new model data predicting a second wave of COVID beginning in September. PLEASE REMEMBER - models are like weather forecasts reflecting ranges of probable outcomes. They improve as the dates get closer, but can be guides for thoughtful action weeks or months ahead. ALSO, I am starting to see the words "hot spot or flare" being differentiated from the phrase "second wave."
News release https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ihme-models-show-second-wave-of-covid-19-beginning-september-15-in-us-301074199.html
Data visualizations: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
Vaccine testing from Moderna is ramping up:
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/11/moderna-to-start-final-testing-stage-of-coronavirus-vaccine-in-july.html
The digital divide (marginalization of the non-tech-enabled) is now more apparent in healthcare. Wired reports on this.
https://www.wired.com/story/health-care-online-patients-left-behind/
During the peak of the pandemic in NY, there were trials of ventilator sharing. Amazing. Lots of lessons learned. Here is a case series.
https://www.atsjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1164/rccm.202005-1586LE
Dr. Boulware is an ID doc from MN who is involved in a series of HCQ trials, none of which have demonstrated efficacy. He announced the submission of data from a trial on early outpatient treatment with HCQ. Twitter chaos ensues. It is worth reading the thread to appreciate just how polarizing hydroxychloroquine has become. It is a stew of armchair scientists spouting big-pharma conspiracy, bias, trolls, and logical fallacies. To be clear (and with the caveat that I am sympathetic), I see no inherent bias in the work he has published - especially since it is negative data for the most part. More importantly, it is an excellent example of the trade-offs of social media.
https://twitter.com/boulware_dr/status/1270870232811352064
The NY Times highlighted the first known case of a COVID patient with prolong-vent dependence receiving a lung transplant for treatment. The pictures are striking. The damage to her native lungs from the virus is scary. The article barely touches on some of the more interesting questions - for instance, what is the impact of immunosuppression in immediate post-COVID patients? Moreover, it is not clear to me how much she may or may not have been aware of what was going on. I cannot begin to fathom the emotional rollercoaster her family has endured or the psychological and physical consequences with which she will have to grapple.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/11/health/coronavirus-lung-transplant.html
Here is a pair of articles that I found within 5 minutes of each other yesterday:
Article 1: People are sleeping more during the pandemic
https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-06-11-20-intl/h_d63c2e42206f243ff1ac776b87a87db9
Article 2: A French study demonstrates insomnia during the pandemic
https://www.psypost.org/2020/06/french-study-uncovers-psychological-risk-factors-for-insomnia-during-covid-19-57012
To be clear - I am glossing over details for entertainment's sake, but still, I found it funny.
More follow up on Memorial Day in the Ozarks and the Great Clips stories:
https://www.kansascity.com/news/coronavirus/article243460801.html
https://www.ledger-enquirer.com/news/coronavirus/article243395651.html
Infographic of the day: Hedgehogs!
https://i.redd.it/1h90j5abz8451.jpg
Take-home #1: Beware of hissing and popping sounds when encountering large herds of hedgehogs.
Take-home #2: splooting is a word. Really. I mean it. Look it up. Nevermind - here you go: https://www.wideopenpets.com/do-you-know-what-splooting-is-here-are-9-adorable-examples/
Take-home point #3: There are enough items related to hedgehogs that a hedgehog-themed wedding can be had (you do you?). https://www.pricklepack.com/about
---Bonus Round - The slog of social change
I have always been struck by the effort and persistence of the Women's Suffrage movement. It is a complex story that primarily starts in 1848 and takes 72 years to achieve success in the United States. The history involves numerous strong-willed activists. And many had interwoven agendas - a mingling of temperance, religious revivalism, abolition, and positivism. While the civil rights movement has a more diffuse set of goals and has been more prolonged, more arduous, and less definitive to date, there are many parallels to consider. It is worth reading about the sustained efforts to remind ourselves what it takes to change hearts, minds, and institutions over time.
Quick reads on very complex topics:
https://www.historynet.com/womens-suffrage-movement
https://www.history.com/topics/black-history/civil-rights-movement
https://sites.psu.edu/tetirclblog/2016/03/16/1955-2016-comparing-the-evolution-of-the-civil-rights-and-womens-liberation-movements/
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
Back on Monday. Have a safe weekend
The last 24 hours have seen an increase in attacks on symbols of injustice. This makes sense - physical structures and flags have a much narrower range of meaning and are apparent. Institutions, people, and laws are much harder to change. I am concerned about keeping the focus on substantive opportunities - elections, legislation, organizational policies. That is hard work that requires persistence, resources, and time. Most concerning, the pandemic has impacted voter registration, changed the risk/reward of civic engagement, and has altered the resources that we have at our disposal. Addressing the issues, from public health to public safety, is going to take focus and fortitude.
---------
The NY Times hotspot map is an excellent quick glace
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
Here is some complex CDC data on hospitalizations - it is a complex graph, and you need to switch to weekly data to make sense of change over time
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html
State Details:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data (again - be sure to compare latest to 2- and 4-weeks back)
https://rt.live/
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
Our world in data has interactive features.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-04-16..&country=USA~GBR~CAN~BRA~AUS~IND~DEU~FRA~ITA~SWE&deathsMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7
The tableau data is from The COVID Tracking Project, which compiles and rates state-reported data. Please review https://covidtracking.com/ to understand the quality of the data.
---------
IHME has released some new model data predicting a second wave of COVID beginning in September. PLEASE REMEMBER - models are like weather forecasts reflecting ranges of probable outcomes. They improve as the dates get closer, but can be guides for thoughtful action weeks or months ahead. ALSO, I am starting to see the words "hot spot or flare" being differentiated from the phrase "second wave."
News release https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ihme-models-show-second-wave-of-covid-19-beginning-september-15-in-us-301074199.html
Data visualizations: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
Vaccine testing from Moderna is ramping up:
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/11/moderna-to-start-final-testing-stage-of-coronavirus-vaccine-in-july.html
The digital divide (marginalization of the non-tech-enabled) is now more apparent in healthcare. Wired reports on this.
https://www.wired.com/story/health-care-online-patients-left-behind/
During the peak of the pandemic in NY, there were trials of ventilator sharing. Amazing. Lots of lessons learned. Here is a case series.
https://www.atsjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1164/rccm.202005-1586LE
Dr. Boulware is an ID doc from MN who is involved in a series of HCQ trials, none of which have demonstrated efficacy. He announced the submission of data from a trial on early outpatient treatment with HCQ. Twitter chaos ensues. It is worth reading the thread to appreciate just how polarizing hydroxychloroquine has become. It is a stew of armchair scientists spouting big-pharma conspiracy, bias, trolls, and logical fallacies. To be clear (and with the caveat that I am sympathetic), I see no inherent bias in the work he has published - especially since it is negative data for the most part. More importantly, it is an excellent example of the trade-offs of social media.
https://twitter.com/boulware_dr/status/1270870232811352064
The NY Times highlighted the first known case of a COVID patient with prolong-vent dependence receiving a lung transplant for treatment. The pictures are striking. The damage to her native lungs from the virus is scary. The article barely touches on some of the more interesting questions - for instance, what is the impact of immunosuppression in immediate post-COVID patients? Moreover, it is not clear to me how much she may or may not have been aware of what was going on. I cannot begin to fathom the emotional rollercoaster her family has endured or the psychological and physical consequences with which she will have to grapple.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/11/health/coronavirus-lung-transplant.html
Here is a pair of articles that I found within 5 minutes of each other yesterday:
Article 1: People are sleeping more during the pandemic
https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-06-11-20-intl/h_d63c2e42206f243ff1ac776b87a87db9
Article 2: A French study demonstrates insomnia during the pandemic
https://www.psypost.org/2020/06/french-study-uncovers-psychological-risk-factors-for-insomnia-during-covid-19-57012
To be clear - I am glossing over details for entertainment's sake, but still, I found it funny.
More follow up on Memorial Day in the Ozarks and the Great Clips stories:
https://www.kansascity.com/news/coronavirus/article243460801.html
https://www.ledger-enquirer.com/news/coronavirus/article243395651.html
Infographic of the day: Hedgehogs!
https://i.redd.it/1h90j5abz8451.jpg
Take-home #1: Beware of hissing and popping sounds when encountering large herds of hedgehogs.
Take-home #2: splooting is a word. Really. I mean it. Look it up. Nevermind - here you go: https://www.wideopenpets.com/do-you-know-what-splooting-is-here-are-9-adorable-examples/
Take-home point #3: There are enough items related to hedgehogs that a hedgehog-themed wedding can be had (you do you?). https://www.pricklepack.com/about
---Bonus Round - The slog of social change
I have always been struck by the effort and persistence of the Women's Suffrage movement. It is a complex story that primarily starts in 1848 and takes 72 years to achieve success in the United States. The history involves numerous strong-willed activists. And many had interwoven agendas - a mingling of temperance, religious revivalism, abolition, and positivism. While the civil rights movement has a more diffuse set of goals and has been more prolonged, more arduous, and less definitive to date, there are many parallels to consider. It is worth reading about the sustained efforts to remind ourselves what it takes to change hearts, minds, and institutions over time.
Quick reads on very complex topics:
https://www.historynet.com/womens-suffrage-movement
https://www.history.com/topics/black-history/civil-rights-movement
https://sites.psu.edu/tetirclblog/2016/03/16/1955-2016-comparing-the-evolution-of-the-civil-rights-and-womens-liberation-movements/
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
Back on Monday. Have a safe weekend
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