Wednesday, June 17, 2020
More interpretations of data make it more difficult to contextualize the rising rates of COVID+ patients in various states. There are political dimensions to this conversation, which seem to cloud the discussion as well. The facts, as best I can discern, are that more people than in previous weeks are now COVID positive in about 18 states - whether this rise reflects a second wave or a never-ending 1st wave almost doesn't matter. There are some genuine needs to loosen restrictions (like patients who need in-person chronic disease care). But there is fatigue around sustained social distancing, masks, and quarantine. Let us hope the thoughtful resumption of activities stays thoughtful.
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Our world in data has interactive features.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-04-16..&country=USA~GBR~CAN~BRA~AUS~IND~DEU~FRA~ITA~SWE&deathsMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
The NY Times has hotspot map is an excellent quick glace of rolling 2-week case change
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
State Details:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://rt.live/
The tableau data is from The COVID Tracking Project, which compiles and rates state-reported data. Please reviewhttps://covidtracking.com/ to understand the quality of the data.
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Here is some thoughtful commentary on contact tracing, a key and challenging part of stopping the viral spread.
https://twitter.com/DrTomFrieden/status/1273009201636401155
Dr. Sanjay Gupta (CNN's chief neurosurgeon) has been tweeting about how data is being used by various public officials:
https://twitter.com/drsanjaygupta/status/1273090574187409408
some other discussion to consider:
https://twitter.com/K_G_Andersen/status/1273070326629330944
I sincerely hope this data pans out. There was a press release from a UK trial yesterday indicating that intravenous steroids (dexamethasone) reduced mortality in critically ill COVID+ patients. Here is a discussion of the article
https://twitter.com/ashishkjha/status/1272871167238397954
I forgot to mention that reality and data may have finally merged with regards to HCQ - at least in the FDA's opinion.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/06/15/fda-revokes-hydroxychloroquine/
This is a fun article. It is advocating research into oral cleansing for coronavirus. IT IS A THEORY THAT NEEDS TESTING AND DATA. But, the overview of viral characteristics and various agents that disrupt viruses make it a good read. DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT YOU SHOULD BE USING MOUTHWASH FOR COVID PREVENTION. It is an idea of unclear value.
https://academic.oup.com/function/article/1/1/zqaa002/5836301
Wired has yet another article of interest. The opportunities and problems of outdoor dining. Maybe one day, someone can hook me up with the editorial team there to see how "their sausage is made." I am increasingly impressed with the variety and ingenuity of their articles. I would love to sit through one of their meetings. Maybe this is one of those "best left as a fantasy" things?
https://www.wired.com/story/the-design-and-science-of-patio-dining-during-a-pandemic/
There are many people forgoing care for chronic conditions during the pandemic. Here is an overview of teen mental health-related issues.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/06/17/cliff-teens-mental-health-transition-adulthood/
Infographic of the day: Laundry
I feel like I should know this. But I don't. I suspect there are many other things I do not know I do not know. Maybe you are supposed to learn this stuff if you do not spend your 20s awake at all hours in hospitals caring for sick people. There should be a proper adjective for immersive careers that leave you with intellectual blind spots and gaps. I bet the Germans or Japanese have words for this.
https://i.redd.it/dar4qjm7ye551.jpg
more: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laundry_symbol
----Bonus Round --
John Cleese is a complicated guy. However, his humor is often spot-on.
Here is an excellent example of using humor to discuss extremism. This article and video are very entertaining, even if they are from the UK, 30 years ago.
http://www.openculture.com/2020/06/john-cleeses-comedically-explains-the-psychological-advantages-of-extremism.html
I am a strong advocate of operationalizing change through our mechanisms of governance. I think it is an excellent time to remind ourselves of the history of the Voting Rights Act of 1965.
https://time.com/3985479/voting-rights-act-1965-results/
Clean hands and sharp minds,
-Adam
More interpretations of data make it more difficult to contextualize the rising rates of COVID+ patients in various states. There are political dimensions to this conversation, which seem to cloud the discussion as well. The facts, as best I can discern, are that more people than in previous weeks are now COVID positive in about 18 states - whether this rise reflects a second wave or a never-ending 1st wave almost doesn't matter. There are some genuine needs to loosen restrictions (like patients who need in-person chronic disease care). But there is fatigue around sustained social distancing, masks, and quarantine. Let us hope the thoughtful resumption of activities stays thoughtful.
---------
Our world in data has interactive features.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-04-16..&country=USA~GBR~CAN~BRA~AUS~IND~DEU~FRA~ITA~SWE&deathsMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
The NY Times has hotspot map is an excellent quick glace of rolling 2-week case change
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
State Details:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://rt.live/
The tableau data is from The COVID Tracking Project, which compiles and rates state-reported data. Please reviewhttps://covidtracking.com/ to understand the quality of the data.
--------
Here is some thoughtful commentary on contact tracing, a key and challenging part of stopping the viral spread.
https://twitter.com/DrTomFrieden/status/1273009201636401155
Dr. Sanjay Gupta (CNN's chief neurosurgeon) has been tweeting about how data is being used by various public officials:
https://twitter.com/drsanjaygupta/status/1273090574187409408
some other discussion to consider:
https://twitter.com/K_G_Andersen/status/1273070326629330944
I sincerely hope this data pans out. There was a press release from a UK trial yesterday indicating that intravenous steroids (dexamethasone) reduced mortality in critically ill COVID+ patients. Here is a discussion of the article
https://twitter.com/ashishkjha/status/1272871167238397954
I forgot to mention that reality and data may have finally merged with regards to HCQ - at least in the FDA's opinion.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/06/15/fda-revokes-hydroxychloroquine/
This is a fun article. It is advocating research into oral cleansing for coronavirus. IT IS A THEORY THAT NEEDS TESTING AND DATA. But, the overview of viral characteristics and various agents that disrupt viruses make it a good read. DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT YOU SHOULD BE USING MOUTHWASH FOR COVID PREVENTION. It is an idea of unclear value.
https://academic.oup.com/function/article/1/1/zqaa002/5836301
Wired has yet another article of interest. The opportunities and problems of outdoor dining. Maybe one day, someone can hook me up with the editorial team there to see how "their sausage is made." I am increasingly impressed with the variety and ingenuity of their articles. I would love to sit through one of their meetings. Maybe this is one of those "best left as a fantasy" things?
https://www.wired.com/story/the-design-and-science-of-patio-dining-during-a-pandemic/
There are many people forgoing care for chronic conditions during the pandemic. Here is an overview of teen mental health-related issues.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/06/17/cliff-teens-mental-health-transition-adulthood/
Infographic of the day: Laundry
I feel like I should know this. But I don't. I suspect there are many other things I do not know I do not know. Maybe you are supposed to learn this stuff if you do not spend your 20s awake at all hours in hospitals caring for sick people. There should be a proper adjective for immersive careers that leave you with intellectual blind spots and gaps. I bet the Germans or Japanese have words for this.
https://i.redd.it/dar4qjm7ye551.jpg
more: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laundry_symbol
----Bonus Round --
John Cleese is a complicated guy. However, his humor is often spot-on.
Here is an excellent example of using humor to discuss extremism. This article and video are very entertaining, even if they are from the UK, 30 years ago.
http://www.openculture.com/2020/06/john-cleeses-comedically-explains-the-psychological-advantages-of-extremism.html
I am a strong advocate of operationalizing change through our mechanisms of governance. I think it is an excellent time to remind ourselves of the history of the Voting Rights Act of 1965.
https://time.com/3985479/voting-rights-act-1965-results/
Clean hands and sharp minds,
-Adam
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