Thursday, June 18, 2020
A quick review of the news and Twittersphere indicates that many localities are taking specific actions on policing reform. I am heartened by small and meaningful steps forward using the mechanisms of governance to affect change. This kind of local leadership is in contrast to our national efforts in managing the pandemic. Both, however, require a sustained effort.
https://twitter.com/i/events/1265874933432737792
https://twitter.com/i/events/1240677133971644419
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/
---- Latest Data
Our world in data has interactive features.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-04-16..&country=USA~GBR~CAN~BRA~AUS~IND~DEU~FRA~ITA~SWE&deathsMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
The NY Times has hotspot map is an excellent quick glace of rolling 2-week case change
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
State Details:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://rt.live/
The tableau data is from The COVID Tracking Project, which compiles and rates state-reported data. Please review https://covidtracking.com/ to understand the quality of the data.
----
I found another visualization source worthy of exploration.
The Dartmouth Atlas has a COVID Cases per 100,000 for the Past 14 Day by Hospital Referral Region (HRR), which allows an interactive understanding of potential hospital saturation over time. The information about the data on the page is very dense but worthy of the effort to get through.
https://www.dartmouthatlas.org/covid-19/hrr-mapping/
My favorite tweet from yesterday:
https://twitter.com/kidney_boy/status/1273435810738712576
A loyal reader asked that I revisit information on over-the-counter (OTC) pain meds for treating symptoms of COVID. WAY back in March, this was hot news. It seems like that was the 1840s now.
https://chicagohealthonline.com/ask-the-harvard-experts-ibuprofen-vs-acetaminophen-and-covid-19/
One of the on-going debates is how long immunity to COVID lasts. A group in China has started looking at the prevalence of antibodies in healthcare workers at +5-6 months post-exposure. It is unsettling news, but I think we need a lot more data. It appears far fewer of the healthcare workers have antibodies than would be expected. Please remember, this is pre-release, non-peer-reviewed data.
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3089476/there-may-be-no-immunity-against-covid-19-new-wuhan-study
And, there is opposing data for shorter-term post-exposure time frames
https://directorsblog.nih.gov/2020/05/07/study-finds-nearly-everyone-who-recovers-from-covid-19-makes-coronavirus-antibodies/
I assure you that we will have a better understanding of this issue in the next 6-12 months.
There are so many ways to mess up data reporting. Here is an article from Washington state on over-counting negative tests on the WA State COVID Dashboard. The most heartening piece of the article was the quote, "We understand that we made a mistake and we own it," [said the department of health spokeswoman].
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/washington-states-coronavirus-testing-data-has-been-wrong-for-nearly-a-month/
This is THE BEST COVID-related article I have found. Ever.
https://twitter.com/masonporter/status/1273054551583555585?s=12
I suggest reading the entire thread to appreciate the depth of intellect on display.
I want to use this technology outside of COVID-related times to keep people away from me at parties and in crowds. Seriously though, I do give props to the article author for asking the "what else are you doing with this data?" question (at the end).
https://www.theverge.com/2020/6/16/21292669/social-distancing-amazon-ai-assistant-warehouses-covid-19
Info-guide of the day.
I am not certain that the destruction of statues and symbols is a long-term solution to our societal concerns, but I do get why this is happening. I am surprised that I am surprised that Popular Mechanics is now offering "How to Topple a Statue Using Science" guide. Maybe my surprise is a sign I am old and out of touch? I suspect I should just be pleased that social revolutions that also focus on efficacy and safety are a good thing. (No fun if we are all injured or leave the feet of the statue on the pedestal!)
https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/a32870657/remove-statue-science/
Infographic of the day #2 - Selective Breeding and the eugenics of food
https://i.redd.it/wzaibs64rj451.jpg
Take-home learning: There is a World Carrott Museum. In the UK. Sadly, it is virtual. Oh, imagine the gift shop a real-world carrot museum could have.
http://www.carrotmuseum.co.uk/index.html
Bonus Round - The price of social change and reform
I have repeatedly highlighted what happens to historical figures who attempt to reform institutions and organizations. If you have not read the story of Adrian Schoolcraft, I suggest you check it out. These events all took place about ten years ago but are indicative of how organizational culture works and the consequences of being the person that speaks out. Schoolcraft was the NYPD officer who gathered evidence of corruption only to find himself forcibly committed to a psychiatric hospital (by the NYPD) in retribution.
Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adrian_Schoolcraft
The Village Voice Articles:
https://web.archive.org/web/20150103233428/http://www.villagevoice.com/specialReports/the-nypd-tapes-the-village-voices-series-on-adrian-schoolcraft-by-graham-rayman-4393217/
Podcasts:
https://www.thisamericanlife.org/414/right-to-remain-silent
The impact of transparency on those involved:
https://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/exclusive-fears-scandal-film-smear-repute-article-1.2204467
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
P.S. - I am restarting in-person clinic tomorrow, so I will be back on Monday with this email. Have a safe weekend, and Happy Father's Day!
A quick review of the news and Twittersphere indicates that many localities are taking specific actions on policing reform. I am heartened by small and meaningful steps forward using the mechanisms of governance to affect change. This kind of local leadership is in contrast to our national efforts in managing the pandemic. Both, however, require a sustained effort.
https://twitter.com/i/events/1265874933432737792
https://twitter.com/i/events/1240677133971644419
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/
---- Latest Data
Our world in data has interactive features.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-04-16..&country=USA~GBR~CAN~BRA~AUS~IND~DEU~FRA~ITA~SWE&deathsMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7
FT data is still the best visualization I have found for country comparisons.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths
The NY Times has hotspot map is an excellent quick glace of rolling 2-week case change
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
State Details:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link
Rt data
https://rt.live/
The tableau data is from The COVID Tracking Project, which compiles and rates state-reported data. Please review https://covidtracking.com/ to understand the quality of the data.
----
I found another visualization source worthy of exploration.
The Dartmouth Atlas has a COVID Cases per 100,000 for the Past 14 Day by Hospital Referral Region (HRR), which allows an interactive understanding of potential hospital saturation over time. The information about the data on the page is very dense but worthy of the effort to get through.
https://www.dartmouthatlas.org/covid-19/hrr-mapping/
My favorite tweet from yesterday:
https://twitter.com/kidney_boy/status/1273435810738712576
A loyal reader asked that I revisit information on over-the-counter (OTC) pain meds for treating symptoms of COVID. WAY back in March, this was hot news. It seems like that was the 1840s now.
https://chicagohealthonline.com/ask-the-harvard-experts-ibuprofen-vs-acetaminophen-and-covid-19/
One of the on-going debates is how long immunity to COVID lasts. A group in China has started looking at the prevalence of antibodies in healthcare workers at +5-6 months post-exposure. It is unsettling news, but I think we need a lot more data. It appears far fewer of the healthcare workers have antibodies than would be expected. Please remember, this is pre-release, non-peer-reviewed data.
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3089476/there-may-be-no-immunity-against-covid-19-new-wuhan-study
And, there is opposing data for shorter-term post-exposure time frames
https://directorsblog.nih.gov/2020/05/07/study-finds-nearly-everyone-who-recovers-from-covid-19-makes-coronavirus-antibodies/
I assure you that we will have a better understanding of this issue in the next 6-12 months.
There are so many ways to mess up data reporting. Here is an article from Washington state on over-counting negative tests on the WA State COVID Dashboard. The most heartening piece of the article was the quote, "We understand that we made a mistake and we own it," [said the department of health spokeswoman].
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/washington-states-coronavirus-testing-data-has-been-wrong-for-nearly-a-month/
This is THE BEST COVID-related article I have found. Ever.
https://twitter.com/masonporter/status/1273054551583555585?s=12
I suggest reading the entire thread to appreciate the depth of intellect on display.
I want to use this technology outside of COVID-related times to keep people away from me at parties and in crowds. Seriously though, I do give props to the article author for asking the "what else are you doing with this data?" question (at the end).
https://www.theverge.com/2020/6/16/21292669/social-distancing-amazon-ai-assistant-warehouses-covid-19
Info-guide of the day.
I am not certain that the destruction of statues and symbols is a long-term solution to our societal concerns, but I do get why this is happening. I am surprised that I am surprised that Popular Mechanics is now offering "How to Topple a Statue Using Science" guide. Maybe my surprise is a sign I am old and out of touch? I suspect I should just be pleased that social revolutions that also focus on efficacy and safety are a good thing. (No fun if we are all injured or leave the feet of the statue on the pedestal!)
https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/a32870657/remove-statue-science/
Infographic of the day #2 - Selective Breeding and the eugenics of food
https://i.redd.it/wzaibs64rj451.jpg
Take-home learning: There is a World Carrott Museum. In the UK. Sadly, it is virtual. Oh, imagine the gift shop a real-world carrot museum could have.
http://www.carrotmuseum.co.uk/index.html
Bonus Round - The price of social change and reform
I have repeatedly highlighted what happens to historical figures who attempt to reform institutions and organizations. If you have not read the story of Adrian Schoolcraft, I suggest you check it out. These events all took place about ten years ago but are indicative of how organizational culture works and the consequences of being the person that speaks out. Schoolcraft was the NYPD officer who gathered evidence of corruption only to find himself forcibly committed to a psychiatric hospital (by the NYPD) in retribution.
Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adrian_Schoolcraft
The Village Voice Articles:
https://web.archive.org/web/20150103233428/http://www.villagevoice.com/specialReports/the-nypd-tapes-the-village-voices-series-on-adrian-schoolcraft-by-graham-rayman-4393217/
Podcasts:
https://www.thisamericanlife.org/414/right-to-remain-silent
The impact of transparency on those involved:
https://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/exclusive-fears-scandal-film-smear-repute-article-1.2204467
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
P.S. - I am restarting in-person clinic tomorrow, so I will be back on Monday with this email. Have a safe weekend, and Happy Father's Day!
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