Tuesday, August 18, 2020
I have some early morning events today, so only a brief email.
------------
Latest Data
Global-View:
https://www.ft.com/content/a2901ce8-5eb7-4633-b89c-cbdf5b386938
Nationally:
a slow decline in new cases in the US (still around 50,000 a day)
stable deaths @ 3.2 per million (or about 1000 deaths per day) in the US for the last week
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usfl&areasRegional=ustx&areasRegional=usco&cumulative=0&logScale=0&perMillion=1&values=cases
Also, look at https://covidtracking.com/data
The US Regionally:
The NY Times state-level data visualization:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
About the data:
https://covidtracking.com/about-data/visualization-guide is the best resource to understand data visualization and data integrity.
-----------
Here is a STAT news article that helps frame healthcare resource limitations - it is physical space + staffing (docs, nurses, techs) + equipment. One of the consequences of for-profit (and pseudo-non-profit ) healthcare systems is the continuous optimization that looks at mean and modal capacity. Not a lot of extra capacity for surges and emergencies.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/08/18/icu-capacity-is-more-about-the-clinicians-than-the-number-of-beds/
It is worth mentioning another medication floating around Facebook and Twitter discussions - ivermectin (used commonly for parasitic infections, such as lice and pinworm). Data on its use in COVID is limited. Ivermectin is not a viable treatment option _at this time_.
https://theconversation.com/ivermectin-is-still-not-a-miracle-cure-for-covid-19-despite-what-you-may-have-read-144569
Here is one more article from Australia on the etiquette and ethics of wearing a mask. It is important to continually focus on the notions that 1) we do not live isolated from others, 2) masks are a mild inconvenience, and 3) one does not have the inherent right to risk the health and wellbeing of others. This article introduced me to the concept of "pandemic etiquette."
https://theconversation.com/mask-or-no-mask-this-simple-ethical-approach-can-help-with-your-pandemic-etiquette-144552
Here is a Wired editorial from a lawyer framing the risks of in-person voting. I include it because it highlights so many of the concerns that we all face - how do you know what voting day conditions will be like? Can you wait outdoors? How busy will a polling place be? Do you have time to assess the situation and come back on that day? Even with a mask on, time indoors, proximity to others, personal health burdens, and the local prevalence of COVID all play a role in the probability and consequences of spread. I am a little disappointed with this article's cavalier tone, but many of us will be contemplating these scenarios in the lead up to November 3.
https://www.wired.com/story/honestly-just-vote-in-person-its-safer-than-you-think/
Infographic of the day - Frequency of Births on any given day of the year. The highlight here is the links to probable dates of conception, and then hypotheses attempting to explore correlates to the non-random distribution. In other words, why people are more likely to make babies certain days of the year.
http://thedailyviz.com/2016/09/17/how-common-is-your-birthday-dailyviz/
-----Bonus Round ---
I will lean heavily on OpenCulture today. Enjoy a brief history of women writers in science fiction and ponder stories that crosscut the suggested genres - such as invisible, gigantic man-eating plants with telepathy that have traveled from other dimensions and times to [Run for president? Set up multi-level marketing schemes? Pitch a product on SharkTank? Star in a Netflix series?].
http://www.openculture.com/2020/08/every-possible-kind-of-science-fiction-story-1931.html
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
I have some early morning events today, so only a brief email.
------------
Latest Data
Global-View:
https://www.ft.com/content/a2901ce8-5eb7-4633-b89c-cbdf5b386938
Nationally:
a slow decline in new cases in the US (still around 50,000 a day)
stable deaths @ 3.2 per million (or about 1000 deaths per day) in the US for the last week
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usfl&areasRegional=ustx&areasRegional=usco&cumulative=0&logScale=0&perMillion=1&values=cases
Also, look at https://covidtracking.com/data
The US Regionally:
The NY Times state-level data visualization:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
About the data:
https://covidtracking.com/about-data/visualization-guide is the best resource to understand data visualization and data integrity.
-----------
Here is a STAT news article that helps frame healthcare resource limitations - it is physical space + staffing (docs, nurses, techs) + equipment. One of the consequences of for-profit (and pseudo-non-profit ) healthcare systems is the continuous optimization that looks at mean and modal capacity. Not a lot of extra capacity for surges and emergencies.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/08/18/icu-capacity-is-more-about-the-clinicians-than-the-number-of-beds/
It is worth mentioning another medication floating around Facebook and Twitter discussions - ivermectin (used commonly for parasitic infections, such as lice and pinworm). Data on its use in COVID is limited. Ivermectin is not a viable treatment option _at this time_.
https://theconversation.com/ivermectin-is-still-not-a-miracle-cure-for-covid-19-despite-what-you-may-have-read-144569
Here is one more article from Australia on the etiquette and ethics of wearing a mask. It is important to continually focus on the notions that 1) we do not live isolated from others, 2) masks are a mild inconvenience, and 3) one does not have the inherent right to risk the health and wellbeing of others. This article introduced me to the concept of "pandemic etiquette."
https://theconversation.com/mask-or-no-mask-this-simple-ethical-approach-can-help-with-your-pandemic-etiquette-144552
Here is a Wired editorial from a lawyer framing the risks of in-person voting. I include it because it highlights so many of the concerns that we all face - how do you know what voting day conditions will be like? Can you wait outdoors? How busy will a polling place be? Do you have time to assess the situation and come back on that day? Even with a mask on, time indoors, proximity to others, personal health burdens, and the local prevalence of COVID all play a role in the probability and consequences of spread. I am a little disappointed with this article's cavalier tone, but many of us will be contemplating these scenarios in the lead up to November 3.
https://www.wired.com/story/honestly-just-vote-in-person-its-safer-than-you-think/
Infographic of the day - Frequency of Births on any given day of the year. The highlight here is the links to probable dates of conception, and then hypotheses attempting to explore correlates to the non-random distribution. In other words, why people are more likely to make babies certain days of the year.
http://thedailyviz.com/2016/09/17/how-common-is-your-birthday-dailyviz/
-----Bonus Round ---
I will lean heavily on OpenCulture today. Enjoy a brief history of women writers in science fiction and ponder stories that crosscut the suggested genres - such as invisible, gigantic man-eating plants with telepathy that have traveled from other dimensions and times to [Run for president? Set up multi-level marketing schemes? Pitch a product on SharkTank? Star in a Netflix series?].
http://www.openculture.com/2020/08/every-possible-kind-of-science-fiction-story-1931.html
Clean hands and sharp minds, team
-Adam
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