What Adam is Reading - 8-4-2020

August 4, 2020
Tuesday

Today, tropical storm Isaias is spending part of the day in the Chesapeake Bay. While we are not as blasé as our colleagues in Florida to this weather, it is remarkable how collectively relaxed we are in the lead-up to this big, wet, windy storm. To be sure, we have had increased extreme weather in recent years. In some ways, it demonstrates how easily we grow comfortable with more atypical experiences as they become more typical. I think there was a time when we didn't wear masks to the food store.

Data: https://statesummaries.ncics.org/chapter/md/

-------Latest Data

http://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-04-16..&country=USA~GBR~CAN~BRA~AUS~IND~DEU~FRA~ITA~SWE&deathsMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=7

FT data - the second graph down now has state-level data - I suggest setting it to cases, per million, linear, and add your state to the highlighted list.
https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=deaths

The NY Times has hotspot map is an excellent quick glace of rolling 2-week case change: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

State Details:
https://public.tableau.com/views/Coronavirus-ChangeovertimeintheUSA/2_Corona?:display_count=y&:origin=viz_share_link

Rt data: https://rt.live/

COVID risk by US county: https://globalepidemics.org/key-metrics-for-covid-suppression/

Estimate your risk of exposure to a COVID positive person based on your county and the size of gathering: https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/

Each of the above sites reports its source data. Please review sources like https://covidtracking.com/ to understand the quality of that data.
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The COVID Tracking project blog offers another excellent review of the trade-offs of different ways to count COVID deaths. I am concerned that we do not have a single prescribed method of accounting for COVID cases and deaths. https://covidtracking.com/blog/is-there-a-right-way-to-chart-covid-19-deaths-over-time

Here is data demonstrating that staying at home increased sleep and adherence to recommendations of 7+ hours of sleep per night. Here is a study from Univ. of CO, Boulder students' sleep habits. My take-aways: 84% of students were already sleeping 7+ hours a night (which rose to 92% during lockdown)?!?! I did not know the phrase "social jet-lag." Some unintended consequences are not adverse. https://www.cell.com/current-biology/fulltext/S0960-9822(20)30838-1

Coffee read of the day - One of the many people I have come to admire is Carl Bergstrom, a Univ. of Washington professor with a sharp mind. I frequently reference his comments on Twitter. His book Calling Bullshit: The Art of Skepticism in a Data-Driven World was released this week (my audio version became available last night), which may be why he in this Scientific American article. Irrespective of the PR-related timing, his thoughts (in more than 280 characters) are worth reading.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-evaluate-covid-19-news-without-freaking-out1/

And speaking of calling BS, I offer my favorite tweet from yesterday. Here are the Denver Broncos using "disinfecting spray [that] helps protect the players from COVID-19 by killing microbes and pathogens instantly by forming millions of nano-crystalline structures." Oooohh big science words. Read the comments to maximize entertainment.
https://twitter.com/aricdilalla/status/1290361203735158784?s=10
follow up comments:
https://twitter.com/ericpanzer/status/1290406998924648448

It appears the NBA's COVID bubble works. Isolation, planning, tight control, and a lot of money seem to be winning the day.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/08/nbas-bubble-works-other-leagues-are-denial/614905/

Health Affairs published an article on disparities in ICU availability in low-income communities. STAT News offers a summary. I am impressed that the 1st author of the paper responded to a reader's comments in the STAT news comments section.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/08/03/covid19-icu-bed-disparities/
Article from Health Affairs: https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.1377/hlthaff.2020.00581

Before the pandemic, I asked myself, "why do I find myself in Disney World every few years?" I cannot fathom wanting to go there during an epidemic. Thanks to the Atlantic, I learned about the psychological and financial incentives of Disney annual pass holders. Wow.
https://www.theatlantic.com/culture/archive/2020/08/when-disney-world-essential-destination/614890/

Infographic of the day: Uncountable and Pleural Nouns
https://www.englishlessonviaskype.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Uncountable-and-Plural-Nouns.png
I can't entirely agree with the notion that you can't count hair. I am keeping close track of the absence of mine.

------Bonus Round - Adaptations over time

I found this article on US Army Corp of Engineers geologist Harold Fisk's work on the Mississippi River changes over time. Despite the technical nature of the maps, there is an aesthetic quality, especially capturing change over time in a static image. https://publicdomainreview.org/collection/maps-of-the-lower-mississippi-harold-fisk

Others are actively writing about the adaptions of the meaning of liberal and conservative over time as well (see yesterday's intro comments). I found this commentary interesting as it speaks to the failure of using the concepts of left/right (liberal/conservative) as a framework for thinking about political action, per se.
https://heterodoxacademy.org/the-political-spectrum-does-exist-a-reply-to-hyrum-lewis/


Clean hands and sharp minds, team

-Adam

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