Thursday, September 10, 2020
The information disclosed by Bob Woodward's interviews is not surprising. The backlash against Bob Woodward is, I think, the more interesting story. The intertwining of politics and coronavirus information is tight today. Some days it is hard to extract wisdom from the morass of second-guessing, missed opportunity, and counter-counterfactuals. Thankfully, we have fiction, videos of talented young musicians, and science to keep us grounded.
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Latest Data
Global-View:
https://www.ft.com/content/a2901ce8-5eb7-4633-b89c-cbdf5b386938
Nationally:
There was a more precipitous drop in cases and deaths reported for 9/7, hard to know if it is the weekend effect or a trend https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usfl&areasRegional=ustx&areasRegional=usco&cumulative=0&logScale=0&perMillion=1&values=cases
Also, look at https://covidtracking.com/data
The U.S. Regionally:
The NY Times state-level data visualization:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
About the data:
https://covidtracking.com/about-data/visualization-guide is the best resource to understand data visualization and data integrity.
----------
The Financial Times magazine offers an outstanding article on critical thinking, statistics, and the pandemic. This is your coffee read this morning. I found it this morning, so I have not made it through the whole article yet.
https://www.ft.com/content/92f64ea9-3378-4ffe-9fff-318ed8e3245e
Earlier this week, the IZA Institute of Labor Economics published an impact study of the Sturgis Bike Rally. I glanced through the very long report and found a few articles that summarize it well. Though very few of us (as a percentage of the U.S. population) attended, we are all paying for it. Here is my favorite quote, "[The per capita cost due to COVID spread] is enough to have paid each of the estimated 462,182 rally attendees $26,553.64 not to attend," the IZA study found.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/sturgis-rally-may-have-caused-250-000-new-coronavirus-cases-n1239577
or
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/515453-sturgis-motorcycle-rally-was-superspreading-event-that-cost-public
Eric Topol offered a summary of his Podcast interview with Paul Offit - published on Medscape. It emphasizes the high likelihood that we will not have anywhere enough Phase 3 vaccine trial data by November.
https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1303831692956766208
Medscape Interview https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/936937
STAT News has a review of Operation Warp Speed - the good and the bad.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/09/08/operation-warp-speed-promised-to-do-the-impossible-how-far-has-it-come/
Infographic of the day - Moonwalking
Since I often encounter a generational gap in knowledge amongst my younger colleagues, it felt appropriate to share this infographic. I had to watch MTV in the 1980s to learn this. You, youngsters, get an animated gif. If that is not a "walking uphill through the snow both ways to school" analogy, I don't know what is.
https://animagraffs.com/moonwalk/
Bonus Round -- Redemption and Dangerous Ideas
I have been pondering notions of accountability recently. (It is near the time of the Jewish holidays of repentance and renewal). How long can someone be held accountable for past actions? What is appropriate penance? What are the mitigating factors that might soften the harshness of judgment? What acts, words, or thoughts demonstrate that someone cannot or should not be trusted ever again? A few articles I have found exploring versions of this topic:
Aaron Coleman is a primary-winning 19-year-old progressive candidate for the Kansas House of Representatives. His age 12 and 13 social media behavior affected his recent primary race. He won, but not without a hefty soul-searching price.
https://arcdigital.media/sins-of-the-past-in-a-digital-age-7d30b3067cd3
In a related article, the notion of "dangerous ideas" has been floating around again. This article explores the challenges of "handling" dangerous ideas throughout history and in modern social debate.
https://arcdigital.media/what-if-an-idea-was-so-dangerous-it-could-lead-to-your-eternal-damnation-68ee4b10ddb
Clean hands and sharp minds,
Adam
Have a safe weekend. Next week is National Nephrology Nurses Week. I will be sharing some thematically appropriate info throughout the week. AND I will also be hosting a Webex Lunch and Learn on Thursday, September 17 - "The tactical patient journey from advanced CKD to ESKD or why is this stuff so damn hard?"
The information disclosed by Bob Woodward's interviews is not surprising. The backlash against Bob Woodward is, I think, the more interesting story. The intertwining of politics and coronavirus information is tight today. Some days it is hard to extract wisdom from the morass of second-guessing, missed opportunity, and counter-counterfactuals. Thankfully, we have fiction, videos of talented young musicians, and science to keep us grounded.
-----
Latest Data
Global-View:
https://www.ft.com/content/a2901ce8-5eb7-4633-b89c-cbdf5b386938
Nationally:
There was a more precipitous drop in cases and deaths reported for 9/7, hard to know if it is the weekend effect or a trend https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usfl&areasRegional=ustx&areasRegional=usco&cumulative=0&logScale=0&perMillion=1&values=cases
Also, look at https://covidtracking.com/data
The U.S. Regionally:
The NY Times state-level data visualization:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
About the data:
https://covidtracking.com/about-data/visualization-guide is the best resource to understand data visualization and data integrity.
----------
The Financial Times magazine offers an outstanding article on critical thinking, statistics, and the pandemic. This is your coffee read this morning. I found it this morning, so I have not made it through the whole article yet.
https://www.ft.com/content/92f64ea9-3378-4ffe-9fff-318ed8e3245e
Earlier this week, the IZA Institute of Labor Economics published an impact study of the Sturgis Bike Rally. I glanced through the very long report and found a few articles that summarize it well. Though very few of us (as a percentage of the U.S. population) attended, we are all paying for it. Here is my favorite quote, "[The per capita cost due to COVID spread] is enough to have paid each of the estimated 462,182 rally attendees $26,553.64 not to attend," the IZA study found.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/sturgis-rally-may-have-caused-250-000-new-coronavirus-cases-n1239577
or
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/515453-sturgis-motorcycle-rally-was-superspreading-event-that-cost-public
Eric Topol offered a summary of his Podcast interview with Paul Offit - published on Medscape. It emphasizes the high likelihood that we will not have anywhere enough Phase 3 vaccine trial data by November.
https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1303831692956766208
Medscape Interview https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/936937
STAT News has a review of Operation Warp Speed - the good and the bad.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/09/08/operation-warp-speed-promised-to-do-the-impossible-how-far-has-it-come/
Infographic of the day - Moonwalking
Since I often encounter a generational gap in knowledge amongst my younger colleagues, it felt appropriate to share this infographic. I had to watch MTV in the 1980s to learn this. You, youngsters, get an animated gif. If that is not a "walking uphill through the snow both ways to school" analogy, I don't know what is.
https://animagraffs.com/moonwalk/
Bonus Round -- Redemption and Dangerous Ideas
I have been pondering notions of accountability recently. (It is near the time of the Jewish holidays of repentance and renewal). How long can someone be held accountable for past actions? What is appropriate penance? What are the mitigating factors that might soften the harshness of judgment? What acts, words, or thoughts demonstrate that someone cannot or should not be trusted ever again? A few articles I have found exploring versions of this topic:
Aaron Coleman is a primary-winning 19-year-old progressive candidate for the Kansas House of Representatives. His age 12 and 13 social media behavior affected his recent primary race. He won, but not without a hefty soul-searching price.
https://arcdigital.media/sins-of-the-past-in-a-digital-age-7d30b3067cd3
In a related article, the notion of "dangerous ideas" has been floating around again. This article explores the challenges of "handling" dangerous ideas throughout history and in modern social debate.
https://arcdigital.media/what-if-an-idea-was-so-dangerous-it-could-lead-to-your-eternal-damnation-68ee4b10ddb
Clean hands and sharp minds,
Adam
Have a safe weekend. Next week is National Nephrology Nurses Week. I will be sharing some thematically appropriate info throughout the week. AND I will also be hosting a Webex Lunch and Learn on Thursday, September 17 - "The tactical patient journey from advanced CKD to ESKD or why is this stuff so damn hard?"
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